AgD Ceuta vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
IBI
1 - 1
AGD
32%
32%
36%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
AGD
1 - 4
ALG
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
TAL
1 - 0
AGD
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AGD
1 - 0
TRJ
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
LOR
4 - 2
PUE
51%
28%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 0
LOR
60%
25%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
LOR
1 - 0
IBI
65%
24%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 1
LOR
58%
28%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
LOR
2 - 2
TAL
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |