AgD Ceuta vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
CFC
2 - 1
AGD
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
AGD
4 - 1
RJA
71%
19%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
CDB
0 - 2
AGD
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
POR
2 - 0
AGD
31%
31%
38%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
AGD
1 - 1
GRA
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRA
50%
29%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
GIM
1 - 0
LOR
59%
27%
15%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
LOR
1 - 0
TER
63%
24%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 2
LOR
42%
34%
23%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
LOR
2 - 0
IBI
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |