AgD Ceuta vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
5 - 2
JUM
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 2
ECI
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
2 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
SRQ
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 3
POL
28%
28%
43%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
BET
3 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LOR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |