Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-2
AgD Ceuta vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 0
BET
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CDF
0 - 0
AGD
20%
30%
49%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
1 - 4
AGD
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 1
EXT
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
CDB
2 - 0
AGD
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
EST
1 - 0
BAL
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
1 - 4
AGD
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
BAL
0 - 0
MEL
42%
31%
27%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
BET
3 - 1
BAL
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |