AgD Ceuta vs Linares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AGD
1 - 0
XER
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
61%
24%
16%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
AGD
0 - 0
ORI
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
PUE
0 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALG
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Linares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
LEV
0 - 1
LIN
65%
23%
13%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
LIN
3 - 2
BET
65%
23%
13%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
BAL
6 - 1
LIN
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
LIN
2 - 0
GRA
44%
30%
27%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
ADP
1 - 0
LIN
55%
26%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |