AgD Ceuta vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 2
ECI
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 0
POL
17%
27%
57%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BET
1 - 0
JUM
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 0
EST
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 0
JUM
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
ALM
3 - 1
JUM
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |