AgD Ceuta vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TAL
0 - 1
AGD
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AGD
0 - 0
SEV
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAL
0 - 3
AGD
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 2
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ALM
1 - 2
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
JER
1 - 3
RJA
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
JER
1 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 1
JER
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MOT
1 - 0
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
JER
1 - 1
ECI
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |