Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
AgD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ELD
1 - 1
AGD
51%
29%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
AGD
2 - 0
SEV
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
HER
3 - 0
AGD
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
POR
1 - 2
AGD
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
AGD
0 - 0
XER
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
HER
1 - 0
LOG
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
SAB
0 - 0
HER
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1972 |
HER
3 - 0
AGD
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
HER
2 - 0
OSA
71%
20%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |