AgD Ceuta vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
CCF
2 - 0
AGD
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
LEV
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ONT
1 - 3
AGD
31%
31%
38%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
SEV
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
REC
2 - 1
AGD
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
1 - 2
PUE
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
XER
3 - 1
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 1
VIN
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
POR
2 - 2
GIR
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
UES
1 - 4
GIR
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |