AgD Ceuta vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CDB
2 - 0
AGD
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AGD
3 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
AGD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
AGD
3 - 0
REC
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
AGD
5 - 3
GIR
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 1
PUE
39%
32%
29%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
XER
1 - 0
GIM
74%
18%
9%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 0
VIN
58%
27%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
GIM
3 - 0
GAN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
POR
0 - 0
GIM
59%
26%
15%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |