AgD Ceuta vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BET
2 - 1
AGD
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 2
AGD
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALM
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
5 - 0
AGD
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
POL
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POL
2 - 0
BET
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
YEC
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
POL
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |