AgD Ceuta vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 2
CAD
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BET
0 - 2
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 0
ANT
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 2
AGD
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
CDL
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
4 - 0
POL
22%
27%
52%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 0
POL
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
POL
4 - 2
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |