AgD Ceuta vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGD
33%
31%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
CDB
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 0
AGD
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 0
TOM
59%
26%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 1
ALB
18%
28%
54%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 1
UBC
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
CDZ
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDZ
0 - 2
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 1
CDZ
46%
29%
25%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 2
EXT
28%
30%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |