AgD Ceuta vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
5 - 1
AGD
36%
32%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
AGD
3 - 3
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ONT
1 - 0
AGD
37%
31%
33%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 0
AGD
30%
24%
45%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AGD
5 - 2
XER
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CDZ
2 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LLE
2 - 1
CDZ
68%
20%
11%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
CDZ
2 - 1
IBI
66%
23%
12%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CDZ
0 - 2
PUE
39%
31%
30%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
1 - 0
CDZ
53%
28%
19%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |