Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-2
AgD Ceuta vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
AGD
2 - 1
TEL
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDT
3 - 1
AGD
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AGD
2 - 0
LPA
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SFE
1 - 4
AGD
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
BAL
3 - 0
AGD
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 0
SFE
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
SFE
6 - 1
AYA
66%
21%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MAI
1 - 0
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SFE
1 - 4
AGD
34%
30%
36%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |