AgD Ceuta vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
XER
2 - 0
AGD
51%
25%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
AGD
0 - 0
ANT
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
AGD
1 - 2
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
REU
1 - 0
AGD
25%
32%
42%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
AGD
2 - 0
PUE
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SFE
1 - 1
GRA
48%
29%
23%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
GIM
2 - 0
SFE
58%
28%
14%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
TER
0 - 0
SFE
59%
27%
14%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
SFE
1 - 0
VAL
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
IBI
2 - 0
SFE
53%
30%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |