AgD Ceuta vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
AGD
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 1
LUC
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 0
AGD
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CFB
4 - 1
POL
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BET
2 - 1
CFB
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CFB
0 - 0
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
POL
1 - 0
CFB
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CFB
0 - 1
GRA
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |