AgD Ceuta vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 0
CPC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 2
AGD
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
COR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 0
AGD
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VEC
7 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
EXT
26%
29%
45%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CPC
2 - 3
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
PPJ
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |