Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 13-2
AgD Ceuta vs Melilla Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDB
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
HEL
2 - 0
AGD
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
AGD
1 - 1
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
SFE
3 - 2
AGD
61%
24%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
AGD
0 - 0
CDO
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melilla Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
IME
2 - 1
CFC
17%
31%
51%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SFE
5 - 1
IME
92%
7%
2%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
IME
1 - 2
POR
13%
28%
59%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
XER
5 - 0
IME
87%
10%
2%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |