AgD Ceuta vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AGD
1 - 2
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
EXT
0 - 1
AGD
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
39%
30%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 0
AGD
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
AGD
0 - 2
CDL
41%
30%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CER
1 - 0
EXT
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CER
1 - 0
AGU
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CDL
7 - 1
CER
67%
22%
12%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CER
1 - 5
SEV
28%
28%
44%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |