AgD Ceuta vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 2
AGD
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AGD
3 - 4
ECI
42%
30%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALM
54%
27%
20%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
AGD
52%
28%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 0
ECI
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 0
VVA
40%
28%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VVA
2 - 0
AGU
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
CDL
3 - 1
VVA
47%
29%
24%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
EXT
4 - 0
VVA
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |