Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
AgD Ceuta vs CD Calahorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
SEV
77%
17%
6%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 1
AGD
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
AGD
5 - 1
CDB
76%
18%
6%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 2
AGD
37%
31%
32%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
AGD
1 - 1
POR
74%
19%
7%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Calahorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SAB
1 - 1
CLH
11%
20%
70%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CLH
4 - 2
LOG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
RMC
3 - 1
CLH
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CLH
2 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
TRJ
4 - 1
CLH
63%
25%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |