Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-4
AgD Ceuta vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 1
EXT
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
CPC
2 - 0
AGD
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
AGD
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 4
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
AGD
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
CPC
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
CPC
2 - 0
AGD
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
CPC
4 - 1
COR
86%
11%
4%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
EST
0 - 2
CPC
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PLA
1 - 2
CPC
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |