AgD Ceuta vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
AGD
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
LAN
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
AGD
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 1
BET
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 1
AGD
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MER
2 - 0
CPC
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 0
MER
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |