AgD Ceuta vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
69.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
4 - 2
AGD
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
AGD
3 - 2
MAL
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
AGD
0 - 0
SFE
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
AGD
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
AGD
2 - 2
BAL
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
77%
15%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
RAY
2 - 2
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2000 |
GAN
0 - 3
FCB
8%
18%
74%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCB
4 - 2
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2000 |
FCB
1 - 1
BRU
71%
17%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |