Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-2
AgD Ceuta vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
AGD
3 - 1
SEV
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDB
1 - 1
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
AGD
2 - 0
RJA
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CAD
0 - 2
AGD
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
UES
0 - 0
AGD
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
VCF
1 - 1
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ALM
4 - 2
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALM
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 2
ALM
70%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATM
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |