Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-0
AgD Ceuta vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
AGD
3 - 0
ORI
54%
27%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
PUE
1 - 0
AGD
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AGD
2 - 0
RGR
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
CDB
2 - 0
AGD
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ALM
3 - 2
AGD
74%
18%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ALG
1 - 0
AMA
46%
31%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALG
77%
17%
6%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
ALG
2 - 1
SDM
35%
30%
35%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALG
72%
19%
9%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ALG
1 - 0
CFC
29%
35%
36%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |