AgD Ceuta vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
AGD
1 - 2
ADP
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALG
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ANT
2 - 1
AGD
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
AMA
1 - 0
AGD
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALC
62%
25%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ALC
4 - 0
ANT
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
AMA
2 - 1
ALC
44%
32%
24%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
ATH
5 - 0
ALC
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |