AgD Ceuta vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
AGD
0 - 0
CAD
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
HOS
1 - 2
AGD
51%
27%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
CAD
9 - 0
AGD
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
PUE
3 - 0
AGD
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 0
VCF
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
4 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
IBI
2 - 1
ALC
46%
33%
21%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
VCF
3 - 1
ALC
92%
6%
2%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
HOS
0 - 0
ALC
60%
25%
15%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |