AgD Ceuta vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
AGD
2 - 3
JER
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
HOS
1 - 1
AGD
28%
31%
42%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
AGD
3 - 0
POR
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGD
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
TAL
1 - 1
ALC
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALC
46%
30%
23%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ALC
4 - 1
TAL
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 2
PBL
71%
20%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |