AgD Ceuta vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
40%
30%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
CAD
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROQ
1 - 1
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 5
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
AGD
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
POL
24%
29%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BET
1 - 2
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
YEC
2 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
37%
29%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |