AD Ceuta FC vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 1
CEU
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEU
0 - 1
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEU
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 1
ECI
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDG
2 - 1
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRD
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASJ
1 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
11%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |