AD Ceuta FC vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LAP
0 - 2
CEU
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CEU
1 - 0
ECI
51%
26%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDG
2 - 1
CEU
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEU
1 - 1
ALG
23%
27%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CEU
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
SRO
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
SEV
75%
16%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 1
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |