AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.1%
80.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CIS
0 - 1
CEU
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CEU
3 - 0
POZ
81%
14%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 1
NUM
5%
15%
79%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ECI
0 - 3
CEU
10%
21%
70%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CEU
7 - 0
CDR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OSA
3 - 4
RSO
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
BEC
0 - 8
RSO
5%
17%
78%
|
86 | 17 | 69 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
RSO
2 - 2
FCB
18%
22%
61%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAD
0 - 0
RSO
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |