AD Ceuta FC vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
CEU
19%
23%
57%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEU
2 - 0
SEV
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 0
CEU
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CEU
3 - 0
ASJ
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEU
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 3
CAD
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
REC
4 - 1
ARC
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 0
AYA
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
ARC
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 2
ALG
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |