AD Ceuta FC vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CEU
5 - 0
SRO
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
CEU
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CEU
2 - 3
POZ
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 2
CEU
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEU
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
POZ
67%
21%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CRD
1 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ANT
2 - 4
ALC
26%
27%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARC
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEU
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |