Castilla Dueñas vs Palencia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
CDF
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
VDB
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 4
GRI
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
6 - 1
BAL
17%
18%
64%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 4
MON
15%
17%
68%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |