Castilla Dueñas vs Saldaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VDB
2 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 4
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAL
5 - 6
SAL
50%
23%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SAL
4 - 1
VDB
46%
25%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
MON
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAL
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |