Castilla Dueñas vs Jovenes Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
PAL
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jovenes Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
JOP
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
JOP
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 3
CDF
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 2
VDB
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 0
JOP
45%
21%
35%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |