Cartagena AD vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
COF
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
PFC
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
STR
2 - 4
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
COF
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 2
PFC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |