Cartagena AD vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
RAM
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
ADC
1 - 0
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SCN
0 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
JAC
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
ADC
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
RAM
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |