Ascenso Apertura Final
Global 1-0
Cartagena AD vs Belén Siglo XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
JFC
5 - 3
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
5 - 1
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
JFC
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TUR
0 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
ADD
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
ADD
0 - 3
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |