AD Carmópolis vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 1
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
OSE
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADC
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 3
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
ADB
75%
16%
8%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SER
0 - 2
ASA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
SER
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
JAC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |