Camacha vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
5º
1
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PEV
2 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
VPE
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
CAM
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
BMA
16%
23%
61%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
GON
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +4 |