Camacha vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
10º
7º
27
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COI
2 - 3
CAM
21%
22%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
ADM
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
ALP
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
CAM
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDL
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
CIN
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 2
CIN
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 2
BMA
32%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
CIN
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |