Camacha vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 1
CAM
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 2
FEL
23%
28%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GAN
3 - 1
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CES
3 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
SCF
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
CES
24%
25%
50%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
TRO
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 6
CAN
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 2
GON
32%
23%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |