Camacha vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GON
2 - 0
CAM
55%
24%
20%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 0
PER
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAM
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPC
28%
29%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TON
2 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
LEX
30%
31%
39%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |