Camacha vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
5º
7
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDL
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LEC
32%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
CAM
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 0
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
GON
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 0
ALP
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |