Camacha vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
10º
7º
33
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
ALP
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
CAM
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDL
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LEC
32%
26%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
ADM
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 0
ADM
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
OEL
7%
13%
80%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 1
BMA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |