AD Cabense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
YPI
37%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |